This Thursday, The Gabba will host the second Test of the 2025/26 Ashes series, a day/night match under the lights with the pink ball making its return. Australia lead the series 1-0 after an emphatic win in Perth, and now England arrive in Brisbane with a chance to level the series and rewrite recent history. Let’s look at the betting preview and prediction for this all-important second Test.
ALSO READ: England XI Confirmed for Second Ashes Test at the Gabba.
Betting Preview
The shift from Perth to Brisbane brings a change of pace. The Gabba has long been considered one of Australia’s fast, bounce-friendly grounds, and in pink-ball Tests, seam movement under lights often proves decisive.
England’s selection signals a strategic reset. With the inclusion of Will Jacks replacing the injured Mark Wood, England add batting depth and a spin option, a tactical move that acknowledges both the bounce of the Gabba deck and the potential role of spin under lights.
On the flip side, Australia’s attack remains potent even without all first-choice seamers. Scott Boland has a strong record at The Gabba, particularly under day-night conditions, a fact that backs Australia’s case for early wickets and pressure.
England must beat Australia in Brisbane to keep alive hopes of a first away Ashes series win since 2010/11. Yet, they haven’t won a Test away to Australia in this rivalry since that same series. With Australia’s dominant record in day-night Tests and pink-ball conditions historically suiting their attack, our prediction is that the hosts will take control at the Gabba and secure victory.
Statistics
- Historically, The Gabba has been a fortress for Australia; England have won just 4 out of 20+ Tests there, losing 11.
- Bowling at night under pink-ball conditions at The Gabba has favoured quick bowlers, and recent Tests have seen early breakthroughs and under-par first-innings scores.
- England’s adjustment, adding a spin-all-rounder in place of a fast bowler, reflects a recognition of evolving conditions and an attempt to counter bounce with variety.
- Australia’s seam attack, even without all first-choice names, remains deep, meaning early pressure and potential collapse if England misplay the new ball.
Best Bets & Prediction
Prediction: Australia to win at 1.47.
Best Bet: No player to score a hundred at 3.50.
Alternative Bet: Scott Boland to be Australia’s top first innings bowler at 2.80.
