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Champions League: Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Preview & Prediction

The UEFA Champions League Round of 16 second-leg clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid is set for tonight at the Estadio Metropolitano. The first leg at the Santiago Bernabeu concluded with a 2-1 victory for Real Madrid, giving them a slight advantage. However, with the away goals rule abolished, Atlético Madrid needs a win to overturn the deficit and progress to the quarter-finals.​ Let’s look at the betting preview & prediction for this game.

READ MORE: Soccer Betting 101: Key Tips for Beginners.

Betting Preview

Atletico Madrid must win tonight to keep their Champions League hopes alive after a 2-1 first-leg defeat. They have been unbeaten in their last five cup meetings with Real Madrid, winning four, and have a history of second-leg turnarounds at home – they achieved it last season against Inter Milan. Their European home record is formidable, having gone 18 knockout matches unbeaten since 1997.

3.20
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
to qualify
Odds are subject to change.
Bet Here

However, Atletico’s preparation wasn’t ideal, suffering a late collapse against Getafe on Sunday. That defeat saw them slip to third in La Liga, adding pressure to an already crucial night. Meanwhile, Real Madrid arrives as favourites, having won their last five Champions League knockout ties and boasting an unbeaten 10-game streak at this stage.

Los Blancos rarely let a first-leg lead slip, advancing in 21 of their last 22 knockout ties after winning the opener. They also fielded a strong XI against Rayo Vallecano, with Vinícius Jr., Mbappé, Bellingham, and Rodrygo all starting. Ancelotti is expected to restore key players like Valverde, Camavinga, and Mendy, while Bellingham returns from suspension.

For Atletico, Koke remains the only absentee, with Nahuel Molina and Robin Le Normand likely to retain their places. Álvaro Morata has been in fine Champions League form, scoring seven in nine matches, and will be key alongside Antoine Griezmann.

1.33
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
Real madrid
to qualify
Odds are subject to change.
Bet Here

With history and home support on their side, Atletico will believe in another comeback, but Real Madrid’s knockout pedigree makes them a daunting opponent.

Recent Form & Stats

  • Atletico Madrid:
    • Last 5 matches: W-D-W-L-L​
    • Goals scored: 10​
    • Goals conceded: 6​
  • Real Madrid:
    • Last 5 matches: W-W-L-W-W​
    • Goals scored: 8​
    • Goals conceded: 4​

Historically, in European competitions, Real Madrid have had the upper hand against Atletico Madrid, with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their 10 encounters.​

Best Bets & Predictions

Prediction: Draw at 3.50.

Best Bet: Real Madrid to qualify at 1.33.

Alternative Bet: BTTS – Yes at 1.54.

The Madrid derby in the Champions League promises a thrilling contest, with both teams eager to secure their spot in the quarter-finals. While Real Madrid holds a slight advantage, Atlético Madrid’s determination and home support make them a formidable opponent.

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