The UEFA Nations League quarterfinals feature a massive matchup between Italy and Germany at Milan’s iconic San Siro Stadium on Thursday night. Both teams aim to secure a spot in the semifinals, promising an intense and tightly contested game. Below is the betting preview and prediction for this encounter.
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Betting Preview
Italy’s Nations League campaign started strong, but a home loss to France saw them finish second in their group. Despite that setback, Luciano Spalletti’s revamped squad remains a serious contender, with tactical adjustments fueling their resurgence. Having won Euro 2020 but missed the last two World Cups, Italy’s focus is on 2026 qualification – but first, they must overcome a familiar rival.
3.40
Nations League
Moise Kean
Anytime Goalscorer
Odds are subject to change.
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Germany, unbeaten in six games since their Euro 2024 exit to Spain, dominated their group with four wins and two draws. They sealed first place with a commanding 7-0 win over Bosnia-Herzegovina before a low-key 1-1 draw with Hungary. Julian Nagelsmann’s squad is firing, averaging three goals per game in this Nations League campaign, and they’re eager to add a missing trophy before turning their attention to next year’s World Cup.
Italy will be looking for revenge after a humiliating 5-2 loss to Germany in their last Nations League meeting. The first leg in Milan sets the stage, with the return clash in Dortmund deciding who moves on to face Denmark or Portugal in the semi-finals. Despite injuries and retirements, Germany remains one of Europe’s strongest teams and will look to keep that momentum going.
4.00
Nations League
Jamal Musiala
anytime goalscorer
Odds are subject to change.
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Recent Form & Stats
Italy:
- Last 5 matches: W-D-W-W-L
- Goals scored: 10
- Goals conceded: 6
Germany:
- Last 5 matches: D-W-W-W-D
- Goals scored: 8
- Goals conceded: 4
In their head-to-head history, Italy and Germany have faced each other 37 times, with Italy winning 15 matches, Germany winning 9, and 13 ending in draws.
Best Bets & Predictions
Prediction: Germany to win at 2.70.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 total goals at 2.08.
Alternative Bet: Germany or draw at 1.44.
This quarterfinal clash between Italy and Germany is set to be an exciting encounter, with both teams showcasing attacking football. While Germany’s recent form and defensive strength provide them with a slight edge, Italy’s home advantage and offensive capabilities make them a formidable opponent.
