AFCON 2025/26: Nigeria vs Morocco Betting Preview & Prediction

The AFCON 2025/26 semi-final between Nigeria and Morocco takes place on Wednesday night at the Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium in Rabat. Hosts Morocco are unbeaten, scoring freely and keeping clean sheets, while Nigeria arrive with a perfect record, five wins and 14 goals, making them the tournament’s highest scorers. With both sides on strong form, this high-stakes clash for a place in the final promises intensity and quality. Let’s look at the betting preview and prediction for this semifinal.

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Betting Preview

Nigeria have been the most consistent team in AFCON 2025/26, winning all five of their matches and scoring at least two goals in each game, a feat rarely seen in the tournament’s history. They dismantled Algeria 2-0 in the quarter-final, with goals from Victor Osimhen and Akor Adams, showcasing their pace, physicality and clinical finishing. The Super Eagles’ shot conversion rate and relentless offensive output have made them a formidable opponent, and their attackers know how to punish even well-organised defences.

Morocco, playing at home, have also been impressive throughout AFCON. They boast four wins and one draw so far, anchored by a solid defence and tactical discipline that have yielded multiple clean sheets. 

Real Madrid’s Brahim Díaz has been a standout performer, scoring five goals and leading Morocco’s attacking charge. Their blend of set-piece threats, defensive organisation and home support makes them especially dangerous in big matches. As hosts, the Atlas Lions will be looking to win the first AFCON since 1976.

This semi-final isn’t just a clash of styles, it’s a battle between Nigeria’s relentless attack and Morocco’s cohesive structure and home advantage. Bettors should expect a tactical and high-intensity contest where small margins could decide the outcome.

Recent Form & Stats

Nigeria Form:

• AFCON 2025/26 Record: 5 wins from 5 games, highest goal tally in the tournament (14 goals).
  
• Quarter-final: 2-0 win vs Algeria with Osimhen and Adams scoring.
  
• Nigeria average high shots per match and excellent conversion, making their forward line a consistent threat.

Morocco Form:

• Hosts are unbeaten with four wins and a draw.
  
• Most clean sheets in the tournament with 4.
  
• Brahim Díaz leads the scoring charts for Morocco with key goals in the knockout rounds.

Head-to-Head:

• Across all meetings, Morocco hold a slight historical edge with six wins to Nigeria’s three, and two draws.
  
• Both teams are undefeated in this edition of the tournament, setting up a fascinating tactical duel.

Best Bets & Predictions

Prediction: Nigeria to win at 3.55.

Best Bet: BTTS – Yes at 1.97.

Alternative Bet: Over 2.5 total goals at 2.27.