Manchester City host Newcastle United at the Etihad Stadium, with a place at Wembley on the line on Wednesday night. City go into the return fixture holding a 2-0 aggregate advantage from their first-leg win at St James’ Park and are strong favourites to complete the job and reach the final. Below, we look at the betting preview, best bets and a prediction for this semi-final clash.
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Betting Preview
City were convincing in the first leg, taking a two-goal lead thanks to strikes from Rayan Cherki and Antoine Semenyo on the road, giving them a solid platform ahead of the second leg. While City’s league form has had its ups and downs, including a late draw with Tottenham, they remain a dangerous side at the Etihad, where they’re unbeaten in recent home cup ties and have the attacking quality to control games.
5.40
Manchester City vs Newcastle Utd
Yes
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Newcastle arrive facing a tough task after losing the first leg, knowing that no side in League Cup history has overturned a two-goal deficit in the semis. Eddie Howe’s squad have been inconsistent lately, especially away from home, and must balance attacking urgency with defensive organisation to have any chance of turning this tie around.
1.13
Manchester City vs Newcastle Utd
No
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Team news could also influence betting angles, with French playmaker Rayan Cherki a slight injury doubt for City, although Pep Guardiola has options like Phil Foden to slot in and maintain the attacking threat.
Recent Form & Stats
- Aggregate Advantage: City lead 2-0 overall after a strong first-leg performance.
- City Home Strength: Manchester City are unbeaten at the Etihad in recent matches and have been strong at home in cup competitions.
- Newcastle Struggles: Newcastle’s recent away form has been mixed, and they’ve failed to sustain long unbeaten runs on the road.
- Head-to-Head: The Sky Blues have a historical edge in this tie, winning the first leg and controlling much of the tie’s momentum.
Best Bets & Prediction
Prediction: Manchester City to win at 1.77.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 total goals at 1.55.
Value Bet: Antoine Semenyo to score anytime at 2.90.